Don’t like the weather….?

Posted on Jun 30, 2017 by .

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http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p70142979615&a=266398464

Mark Twain famously said, (of weather in San Francisco) If you don’t like the weather here wait a minute.  That is still true.  Weather is insanely variable in San Francisco.  Obviously, the same can be said of the market.  If you don’t like it wait a minute.  Bears attacked the market Tuesday.  Bulls counterattacked Wednesday, and then Thursday the bears put on a serious raid.  All this and prices still within the relatively tight rectangle (or congestion zone).  Volatility  picked up noticeably  with ranges of 20.77, 23, and 37 points.  The market is nervous as a cat on a hot tin roof and this activity  didn’t help.

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Another breakout. Don’t breakout the champagne…

Posted on Jun 20, 2017 by .

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In May prices broke out of a congestion formation.  But without a lot of enthusiasm — although building volume should support the bull case.  Now after a fifteen day  mutated rectangle prices have broken out again.  Given the general character of the market one is a less than enthused, but the message of the chart is clear: buy and/or add to positions.  This case has additional evidence– note the larger than usual volume.

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Shocking news…leopard change spots

Posted on Jun 04, 2017 by .

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Ever since they started selling index ETFs we have abandoned individual stocks like vehicles to hell — or jokeyless horses.  Since then we have avoided individual stocks like a recovering drunk  — none of that gambler stuff for us.  A portfolio of ETFs covering the essentials of the market is nothing but the answer to a dream.  The ultimate in diversity and all those indexers are supporting the ETF.

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Air pockets and instant recoveries… and a secret Magee oscillator…

Posted on May 25, 2017 by .

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http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p70142979615&a=266398464

A few days after an ugly air pocket the SPX wesnt to a new high.  That’s not the important  fact here.  The important fact is that over the recent past there is a pattern which keeps repeating intraday: the SPX gets hammered but by the end of day the index has recovered.  Ergo: sosmeone is stepping in to buy a down index.  Jungle drums have said the public is nibbling, but this looks more organized.  Based on this pattern we added to our QQQ position the day after the sell off.

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