The picture crystalizes… and an alpha beta gamma patern appears…

Posted on Jun 15, 2015 by in Letters

0612spx

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p70901721466&a=266398464

We now have a recognizable pattern in the SPX.  It is the alpha-beta-gamma pattern. (http://www.edwards-magee.com/ggu/alphabetazetawaves.pdf)  A close-up:

0612spxabg

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=9&dy=0&id=p70901721466&a=266398464

One could quibble with the marking of the waves here.  Perhaps the first upthrust after “a” is the b marker, but as marked seems more likely and is easier to analyze. If this is accurate the last bar is the beginning of the gamma wave.  This is the wave to test the previous low.  On the downside taking out that low would be damaging to the bull trend —  Given that  contrarians are running the market it is likely that traders will maintain the market between 2050 and 2135 until something more dramatic happens.

Withal, we remain bullish and remind you that the market likes to take zig-zag down before powering up in order to  wipe out the unwashed and unworthy.  The chart will tell us when this has been accomplished.

 

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