Archive for April, 2010

Messing with the portfolio–bought UGL (gold) SPXU (short S&P)

Posted on Apr 30, 2010 by .

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Examining a large group of ETFs and broken trendlines in the indices we decided to go into the weekend moderately hedged.  So we bought the short S&P SPXU and added on to our gold position with a leveraged gold ETF, UGL.

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PALM ing the EURO. Waving the Dow.

Posted on Apr 29, 2010 by .

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2010-04-29-palmPALM.  A shell game?

2010-04-29-fxeStill down.  System wins again.

2010-04-29-indu

Still up.  System wins again.

As we pointed out, PALM was a shell game.  The takeover price is a disappointment if you bought it after the signals.

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More barbarian stops. $indu

Posted on Apr 27, 2010 by .

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2010-04-27-induIn view of the barbarians pouring over the walls we thought we would update stops for the Dow.  These points may be used as benchmarks for the S&P and the ETFs.  Not much of an update.  The stop of 9729 we set back in December is still the Wave low stop.  It held the Dow then, and it would be extremely surprising if it didn’t hold the Dow now.

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Out Robbing Banks…C and BAC

Posted on Apr 27, 2010 by .

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2010-04-27-cNo Per Petterson we, nor no Luce neither.  But today traders are robbing us of some of our paper profits in C and BAC.  When the barbarians are coming over the walls it behooves one to look to his defenses.

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Dow 13750? Predicting is always difficult…

Posted on Apr 25, 2010 by .

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$INDU - P&F Charts from StockCharts.comPredicting is always difficult, and above all when it concerns the future.  As Nils Bohr was fond of saying.

First of all let us make clear that we do not stand behind our predictions.  Or, as John Kenneth Galbraith said, the purpose of economic forecasting is to make astrology look good.  The interpretation of the chart above is less a question of analysis than it is a species of long term economic forecasting.  It is what is called a point and figure chart.

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