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Technical Analysis of Stock Trends | Archive | April
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Archive for April, 2016

(CORRECTION) A history of analyses of the bull market from mar09

Posted on Apr 28, 2016 by .

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This letter was damaged in its original transmission.  Here is the corrected version: Since mar09 we have constantly and consistently been bullish in our analysis.  This is not an exercise in egotism or 20/20 hindsight.  The purpose is to demonstrate how the tools of technical analysis functioned during the great bull market.  At this juncture […]

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Bobbing for Apple…

Posted on Apr 27, 2016 by .

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http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AAPL&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&id=p20970412253&a=456428947 That ugly gap on the chart is one of the reasons we don’t like to trade stocks.  Somebody doesn’t answer the phone and the stock wakes up down 5 or 6%.  But it is what it is and market insults result in a buying opportunity.  Apple has led nothing but a turbulent life with […]

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07-08 top

Posted on Apr 22, 2016 by .

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The way to judge the quality of a market letter is to see what it said at critical juntures in the past. edwards-magee.com closed its long positions in the Dow in January 2008 and went short. In October 2008 we commented as follows: Is this present collapsing market a surprise? Not really. Our systems took […]

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Buying signals…

Posted on Apr 20, 2016 by .

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While we were wrapped hand and foot negotiating a really bad transaction with the Internal Revenue Service prices snuck out to the upside, making new highs.  New Highs are always inflexion points and represent a battle zone for contrarians and investors.  We bought more. http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p38955316076&a=266398464 All the signs of a trend are here.  The broken […]

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The Voyage of the Bogle…

Posted on Apr 11, 2016 by .

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The voyage of the Bogle… (incomplete with turtles..)   We have previously alluded to John Bogle of Vanguard fame. He explained stock market returns with three simple factors: dividends (currently about 2.2%); earnings growth (historically about 4.7%); and speculative return (or amount investors are willing to pay for earnings (about 23 currently).  This model looks […]

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